Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EPSILON-20 in Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda, Ireland, United Kingdom, from 19 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC to 21 Oct 2020 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EPSILON-20

in Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda, Ireland, United Kingdom,

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EPSILON-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Iceland, Bermuda, Ireland, United Kingdom,
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (25 Oct 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	176 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

176 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	19 Oct 2020 12:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
2	19 Oct 2020 15:00	148	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
3	19 Oct 2020 21:00	148	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
4	20 Oct 2020 03:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
5	20 Oct 2020 09:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
6	20 Oct 2020 15:00	130	No people	No people
7	20 Oct 2020 21:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
8	21 Oct 2020 03:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
9	21 Oct 2020 09:00	148	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
10	21 Oct 2020 15:00	157	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
11	21 Oct 2020 18:00	176	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	19 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.8, -55.5
2	19 Oct 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	25.6, -55.3
3	19 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	25.5, -55.5
4	20 Oct 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	25.3, -55.3
5	20 Oct 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	25.6, -54.7
6	20 Oct 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	26.5, -55
7	20 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	27.9, -55.8
8	21 Oct 2020 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	28.5, -56.8
9	21 Oct 2020 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	28.9, -58.3
10	21 Oct 2020 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	71000 people	29.1, -59.1
11	21 Oct 2020 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	71000 people	29.4, -59.7
11	22 Oct 2020 00:00	Category 2	176	no people	71000 people	29.6, -60.1
11	22 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	71000 people	30.9, -60.8
11	23 Oct 2020 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	71000 people	32.3, -61.2
11	23 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	71000 people	33.7, -61.6
11	24 Oct 2020 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	71000 people	35, -61.6
11	24 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	36.6, -60.6
11	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	42, -51.5
11	26 Oct 2020 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	49.5, -33

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Pugwash, Canada. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2020 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (122 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 21 Oct 2020 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Pugwash	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Wallace Bay	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Wallace	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Tatamagouche	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	River John	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Pictou	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Cherry Valley	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Vernon Bridge	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Caribou Island	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Merigomish	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Lismore	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Havre Boucher	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Frankville	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Troy	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Saint Shotts	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Bristol	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Shemogue	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Port Elgin	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Melrose	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Miscouche	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Cape Tormentine	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Bayfield	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Charlottetown	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Pictou Island	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Antigonish	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Monastery	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Long Point	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Port Hastings	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Mulgrave	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Port Hawkesbury	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Point Tupper	Canada	0.2
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Harmony	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Mount Pleasant	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Kensington	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Shediac	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Flat River	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	White Sands	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Beach Point	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Georgetown	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Cape George	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Judique	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Mabou	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Saint Pierre	St. Pierre and Miquelon	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Lamaline	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Summerside	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Port Borden	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Borden-Carleton	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Victoria	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Hampton	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Portage	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Murray Harbour	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Richibucto	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 14:00	Bay Roberts	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Princetown	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Port Hood	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Main-a-Dieu	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Fortune	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Grand Bank	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Lawn	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Saint Lawrence	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Point Lance	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Cape Race	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Fermeuse	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 14:00	Brigus	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Souris	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	L' Ile-du-Hauvre-Aubert	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Havre-Aubert	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Burin	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Rock Harbour	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Trepassey	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Cappahayden	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Cape Broyle	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Ferryland	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Baine Harbour	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Upper Island Cove	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Homeville	Canada	0.1
	24 Oct 2020 13:00	Wauwinet	United States	0.1
	24 Oct 2020 13:00	Hoicks Hollow	United States	0.1
	24 Oct 2020 13:00	Siasconset	United States	0.1
	24 Oct 2020 13:00	Old Harbor	United States	0.1
	24 Oct 2020 13:00	Surfside	United States	0.1
	24 Oct 2020 13:00	Monomoy	United States	0.1
	24 Oct 2020 13:00	Quaise	United States	0.1
	24 Oct 2020 13:00	Polpis	United States	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Canso	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	D'Escousse	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Petit-de-Grat	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Stanley Bridge	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 15:00	Ste.Louise	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 15:00	Sainte-Anne-de-La-Pocatiere	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Rustico	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Morell	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Elmira	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Port Morien	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Donkin	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Point Crewe	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Point May	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Millerand	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Etang-du-Nord	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Grand-Ruisseau	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Cap-aux-Meules	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Margaree Harbour	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Margaree	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Grand-Etang	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Cheticamp	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Petit-Etang	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Marystown	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Branch	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Portugal Cove South	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Saint Bride's	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Mosquito	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Saint Vincent's	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Gaskiers	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Renews	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Tors Cove	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Mobile	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 13:00	Witless Bay	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 12:00	Gabarus	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Parkers Cove	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 10:00	Saint Josephs	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 11:00	Angels Cove	Canada	0.1
	25 Oct 2020 14:00	Harbour Main	Canada	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.